Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.046863 0.050966 0.055121 0.059637 0.064399 0.069266 0.074608
2025-06-29 0.040205 0.046203 0.052498 0.059571 0.067269 0.075369 0.084509
2025-07-06 0.036377 0.043852 0.051938 0.061276 0.071702 0.082926 0.095865
2025-07-13 0.031966 0.040349 0.049684 0.060741 0.073373 0.087251 0.103547
2025-07-20 0.028764 0.037871 0.048280 0.060890 0.075584 0.092009 0.111596
2025-07-27 0.026520 0.036278 0.047694 0.061799 0.078518 0.097482 0.120389
2025-08-03 0.024913 0.035286 0.047680 0.063260 0.082006 0.103536 0.129828
2025-08-10 0.021765 0.032142 0.044854 0.061159 0.081115 0.104360 0.133095
2025-08-17 0.019731 0.030254 0.043433 0.060638 0.082004 0.107191 0.138648
2025-08-24 0.017903 0.028497 0.042057 0.060062 0.082736 0.109767 0.143848
2025-08-31 0.017227 0.028226 0.042540 0.061794 0.086291 0.115740 0.153129
2025-09-07 0.016390 0.027669 0.042601 0.062947 0.089102 0.120803 0.161328
2025-09-14 0.015382 0.026837 0.042286 0.063632 0.091376 0.125297 0.168969
2025-09-21 0.014239 0.025736 0.041552 0.063725 0.092874 0.128830 0.175461
2025-09-28 0.013797 0.025631 0.042159 0.065588 0.096650 0.135221 0.185512
2025-10-05 0.012607 0.024323 0.041028 0.065063 0.097294 0.137665 0.190678
2025-10-12 0.011735 0.023439 0.040444 0.065236 0.098817 0.141203 0.197203
2025-10-19 0.011168 0.022992 0.040452 0.066197 0.101365 0.146038 0.205362
2025-10-26 0.010806 0.022847 0.040881 0.067733 0.104679 0.151866 0.214801
2025-11-02 0.009457 0.020987 0.038700 0.065533 0.102922 0.151127 0.215903
2025-11-09 0.008647 0.019968 0.037721 0.064987 0.103359 0.153198 0.220556
2025-11-16 0.007887 0.018976 0.036734 0.064384 0.103684 0.155098 0.224979
2025-11-23 0.007738 0.019060 0.037408 0.066200 0.107348 0.161396 0.235087